The Financial Forecast Center™
FFC's estimate for 2015 U.S. real economic growth is -0.8%, well below the currently reported +1.8% real GDP growth.
The discrepancy comes from an over-estimated U.S. nominal GDP and under-estimated GDP inflation. Contrary to the U.S. federal government's numbers, the U.S. economy is not doing well.
Here is an interesting piece of analysis showing how different stock markets around the world influence or predict other stock markets.
4Q2015 Real GDP growth is 1.8% year/year or 0.7% annualized quarterly growth.
|February 05, 2016 (Close of Day)|
|US GDP Growth, %||1.80|
|US Inflation Rate, %||0.73|
|US Unemployment Rate, %||4.9|
|Gold Price, $/oz||1,150.50|
|WTI Oil Price, $/bbl||31.00|
|US 10 Yr Treasury, %||1.86|