The

Objective.  Accurate.  Reliable.

Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast

You might ask yourself "so what?"  Why does the inventory to sales ratio matter?  Well, it turns out the inventory to sales ratio is a good proxy for real economic recessions.  When the IS ratio goes above trend, as it did in 2001, 2009 and 2015, the U.S. economy is in a recession.

U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast

Ratio Total Business Inventory to Total Business Sales. Seasonally Adjusted.

Month Date Forecast Value Avg Error
0 Mar 2023 1.39 ±0.00
1 Apr 2023 1.40 ±0.0083
2 May 2023 1.41 ±0.01
3 Jun 2023 1.40 ±0.012
4 Jul 2023 1.41 ±0.012
5 Aug 2023 1.42 ±0.013
6 Sep 2023 1.44 ±0.014
7 Oct 2023 1.46 ±0.014
8 Nov 2023 1.49 ±0.015

Download Historical Data

Get the Rest of the Story with the 5 Year Forecast!

Chart of U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio with Current Outlook.

Chart of Inventory to Sales Ratio with Forecast

Other Business Links of Interest:

A long range forecast for IS Ratio and similar economic series is available by subscription.  Click here to subscribe to the Extended Forecasts

Current Economic Indicators
June 06, 2023
Indicator Value
S&P 500 4283.85
U.S. GDP Growth, YoY % 1.62
U.S. Inflation Rate, % 4.93
Gold Price, $/oz-t 1963.33
Crude Oil Futures, $/bbl 71.74
U.S. 10 Year Treasury, % 3.70

Popular Forecasts