Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast
You might ask yourself "so what?" Why does the inventory to sales ratio matter? Well, it turns out the inventory to sales ratio is a good proxy for real economic recessions. When the IS ratio goes above trend, as it did in 2001, 2009 and 2015, the U.S. economy is in a recession.
U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast
Ratio Total Business Inventory to Total Business Sales. Seasonally Adjusted.
| Month | Date | Forecast Value | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aug 2026 | 1.30 | ±0.00 |
| 1 | Sep 2026 | 1.29 | ±0.0083 |
| 2 | Oct 2026 | 1.31 | ±0.01 |
| 3 | Nov 2026 | 1.30 | ±0.012 |
| 4 | Dec 2026 | 1.30 | ±0.012 |
| 5 | Jan 2027 | 1.31 | ±0.013 |
| 6 | Feb 2027 | 1.31 | ±0.014 |
| 7 | Mar 2027 | 1.31 | ±0.014 |
| 8 | Apr 2027 | 1.31 | ±0.015 |
Download Historical and Forecast Data
Explore the Longer-Term Outlook with Our 5 Year Forecast
Chart of U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio with Current Outlook.
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| October 16, 2026 | |
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7659.44 |
| U.S. GDP Growth, YoY % | 2.19 |
| U.S. Inflation Rate, % | 3.74 |
| Gold Price, $/oz-t | 4189.20 |
| Crude Oil Futures, $/bbl | 104.71 |
| U.S. 10 Year Treasury, % | 5.09 |