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Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast

You might ask yourself "so what?"  Why does the inventory to sales ratio matter?  Well, it turns out the inventory to sales ratio is a good proxy for real economic recessions.  When the IS ratio goes above trend, as it did in 2001, 2009 and 2015, the U.S. economy is in a recession.

U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast

Ratio Total Business Inventory to Total Business Sales. Seasonally Adjusted.

Month Date Forecast Value Avg Error
0 Feb 2019 1.39 ±0.00
1 Mar 2019 1.38 ±0.01
2 Apr 2019 1.38 ±0.01
3 May 2019 1.37 ±0.01
4 Jun 2019 1.36 ±0.01
5 Jul 2019 1.36 ±0.01
6 Aug 2019 1.35 ±0.011

Get The Rest of The Story With The Long Range Forecast

Chart of U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio with Current Outlook.

Chart of Inventory to Sales Ratio with Forecast

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Current Economic Indicators
June 14, 2019
Indicator Value
S&P 500 2886.98
U.S. GDP Growth, % 3.18
U.S. Inflation Rate, % 1.79
Gold Price, $/oz t 1341.10
Crude Oil Futures, $/bbl 52.51
U.S. 10 Year Treasury, % 2.09

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