The

Independent. Objective. Accurate.

Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast

You might ask yourself "so what?"  Why does the inventory to sales ratio matter?  Well, it turns out the inventory to sales ratio is a good proxy for real economic recessions.  When the IS ratio goes above trend, as it did in 2001, 2009 and 2015, the U.S. economy is in a recession.

U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast

Ratio Total Business Inventory to Total Business Sales. Seasonally Adjusted.

Month Date Forecast Value Avg Error
0 Jan 2024 1.39 ±0.00
1 Feb 2024 1.40 ±0.0083
2 Mar 2024 1.39 ±0.01
3 Apr 2024 1.40 ±0.012
4 May 2024 1.41 ±0.012
5 Jun 2024 1.44 ±0.013
6 Jul 2024 1.48 ±0.014
7 Aug 2024 1.50 ±0.014
8 Sep 2024 1.53 ±0.015

Download Historical Data

Get the Rest of the Story with the 5 Year Forecast!

Chart of U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio with Current Outlook.

Chart of Inventory to Sales Ratio with Forecast

Other Business Links of Interest:

A long range forecast for IS Ratio and similar economic series is available by subscription.  Click here to subscribe to the Extended Forecasts

Current Economic Indicators
March 26, 2024
Indicator Value
S&P 500 5203.58
U.S. GDP Growth, YoY % 3.09
U.S. Inflation Rate, % 3.15
Gold Price, $/oz-t 2178.74
Crude Oil Futures, $/bbl 81.62
U.S. 10 Year Treasury, % 4.24

Popular Forecasts