Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast
You might ask yourself "so what?" Why does the inventory to sales ratio matter? Well, it turns out the inventory to sales ratio is a good proxy for real economic recessions. When the IS ratio goes above trend, as it did in 2001, 2009 and 2015, the U.S. economy is in a recession.
U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio Forecast
Ratio Total Business Inventory to Total Business Sales. Seasonally Adjusted.
| Month | Date | Forecast Value | Avg Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | May 2025 | 1.39 | ±0.00 |
| 1 | Jun 2025 | 1.40 | ±0.0083 |
| 2 | Jul 2025 | 1.41 | ±0.01 |
| 3 | Aug 2025 | 1.43 | ±0.012 |
| 4 | Sep 2025 | 1.45 | ±0.012 |
| 5 | Oct 2025 | 1.48 | ±0.013 |
| 6 | Nov 2025 | 1.50 | ±0.014 |
| 7 | Dec 2025 | 1.53 | ±0.014 |
| 8 | Jan 2026 | 1.51 | ±0.015 |
Get the Rest of the Story with the 5 Year Forecast!
Chart of U.S. Inventory to Sales Ratio with Current Outlook.
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| July 17, 2025 | |
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 6297.36 |
| U.S. GDP Growth, YoY % | 1.99 |
| U.S. Inflation Rate, % | 2.67 |
| Gold Price, $/oz-t | 3339.06 |
| Crude Oil Futures, $/bbl | 67.62 |
| U.S. 10 Year Treasury, % | 4.47 |